Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.672140 5.120683 5.620654 6.224958 6.943501 7.781026 8.847203
2025-11-23 4.058227 4.651205 5.365317 6.309672 7.560521 9.217257 11.689176
2025-11-30 3.665033 4.315826 5.138166 6.291846 7.940165 10.346154 14.451697
2025-12-07 3.297466 3.949079 4.797948 6.036007 7.899407 10.819100 16.361902
2025-12-14 3.002092 3.639264 4.487948 5.762130 7.758377 11.069976 17.963412
2025-12-21 2.842677 3.492175 4.378798 5.754326 8.012588 12.028780 21.463449
2025-12-28 2.695741 3.347559 4.255419 5.703058 8.177492 12.863081 25.255027
2026-01-04 2.522778 3.153387 4.042597 5.484921 8.014412 13.006820 27.366194
2026-01-11 2.425050 3.058268 3.966277 5.474292 8.216705 13.967399 32.846999
2026-01-18 2.374148 3.025837 3.979331 5.609214 8.711410 15.756901 43.870071
2026-01-25 2.514231 3.281260 4.456240 6.606216 11.190347 24.164153 132.299416
2026-02-01 2.390641 3.131606 4.274978 6.390538 10.989810 24.554015 161.653197
2026-02-08 2.249373 2.959216 4.063849 6.134430 10.740584 25.025517 215.504078
2026-02-15 2.178978 2.893753 4.027015 6.214053 11.343781 29.331239 716.586864
2026-02-22 2.099296 2.807862 3.947368 6.196709 11.701181 33.170231 25359.859825
2026-03-01 1.989287 2.667639 3.764249 5.947095 11.375089 33.460457 NaN
2026-03-08 1.885263 2.532103 3.581068 5.679701 10.949734 32.968732 NaN
2026-03-15 1.830228 2.472225 3.525358 5.672079 11.264282 37.182226 NaN
2026-03-22 1.773108 2.405964 3.453696 5.622003 11.444893 41.031996 NaN
2026-03-29 1.696132 2.304119 3.312995 5.408861 11.081017 40.614295 NaN
2026-04-05 1.653457 2.256532 3.266711 5.398472 11.357529 45.873576 NaN
2026-04-12 1.633121 2.244524 3.283530 5.530322 12.144989 58.425247 NaN
2026-04-19 1.714417 2.406375 3.634869 6.503209 16.571157 195.006212 NaN